Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004336 0.004764 0.005223 0.005756 0.006358 0.007019 0.007803
2025-09-14 0.003722 0.004333 0.005040 0.005925 0.007012 0.008314 0.010011
2025-09-21 0.003250 0.003925 0.004742 0.005817 0.007213 0.008990 0.011465
2025-09-28 0.002907 0.003611 0.004495 0.005706 0.007349 0.009548 0.012789
2025-10-05 0.002679 0.003409 0.004355 0.005697 0.007593 0.010246 0.014367
2025-10-12 0.002534 0.003296 0.004313 0.005802 0.007989 0.011182 0.016402
2025-10-19 0.002353 0.003117 0.004160 0.005730 0.008108 0.011713 0.017875
2025-10-26 0.002214 0.002982 0.004054 0.005709 0.008294 0.012353 0.019602
2025-11-02 0.002073 0.002833 0.003915 0.005622 0.008361 0.012802 0.021054
2025-11-09 0.001982 0.002748 0.003859 0.005654 0.008616 0.013580 0.023205
2025-11-16 0.001877 0.002635 0.003755 0.005598 0.008716 0.014099 0.024941
2025-11-23 0.001762 0.002502 0.003607 0.005461 0.008662 0.014334 0.026155
2025-11-30 0.001683 0.002418 0.003538 0.005454 0.008848 0.015055 0.028543
2025-12-07 0.001645 0.002399 0.003569 0.005617 0.009356 0.016453 0.032669
2025-12-14 0.001556 0.002293 0.003452 0.005516 0.009367 0.016881 0.034712
2025-12-21 0.001474 0.002193 0.003338 0.005412 0.009359 0.017267 0.036728
2025-12-28 0.001417 0.002130 0.003282 0.005404 0.009535 0.018054 0.039896
2026-01-04 0.001384 0.002103 0.003285 0.005503 0.009930 0.019366 0.044722
2026-01-11 0.001324 0.002030 0.003201 0.005434 0.009978 0.019912 0.047614
2026-01-18 0.001276 0.001974 0.003146 0.005415 0.010125 0.020703 0.051396
2026-01-25 0.001222 0.001904 0.003063 0.005333 0.010130 0.021157 0.054293
2026-02-01 0.001189 0.001869 0.003037 0.005364 0.010382 0.022248 0.059464
2026-02-08 0.001145 0.001813 0.002973 0.005312 0.010443 0.022870 0.063297